I’ve caught wingnut wonder Justin Higgins lying several times: about a 9/11 hijacker, about embryonic stem cells research, about Amnesty International’s statements on Darfur, and about Valerie Plame’s confirmed covert status. So it is no surprise to find him lying about the situation in Iraq:
It seems like Democrats in Congress, and even the talking heads that frequent the Main Stream Media’s various cable news shows, are going to ignore all evidence that the surge in Iraq is working. Iraqi casualties are down, Al-Qaeda in Iraq is on the run, and the changing political landscape in al-Anbar Province is a promising start to the complex problem of curbing sectarian violence and convincing the Iraqi population to stand up and fight against al-Qaeda.
Now, of the three reasons Justin gives to think that “the surge in Iraq is working”, the only quantifiable claim is that “Iraqi casualties are down”. Predictably, Justin is lying about this.
Back in June , the Pentagon released a report entitiled “Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq” [PDF]. Among the data in that report, one finds a graph on page 24 labelled “Average Daily Casualties, April 1, 2004 — May 4, 2007”. I reproduce the graph below.

Notice the tall dark blue bar at the far right — by far the tallest bar on the graph. It represents daily civilian casualties in Iraq since 10 February 2007. What does it tell us?
That’s right. Average daily civilian casualties in Iraq have peaked since the start of the ‘surge’. That number now stands at just over 100 per day. As noted by the Washington Post, violence is down in Baghdad, but has escalated throughout the rest of Iraq. The total number of attacks on military forces, police, and Iraqi civilians have also increased.
It’s very easy to fool yourself into believing something that isn’t true, just by ignoring the facts. Justin does this all the time, and it is his right to do so. Of course, that isn’t enough for Justin: He wants others to share his delusions as well. That’s why he lies to his readers.
UPDATE 07/29/07 5:12 PM EDT: Justin continues to practice blatant dishonesty. Citing the same Pentagon report I mentioned above, he is careful to cite a graph that displays sectarian murders, but not all civilian deaths, as evidence that casualties are decreasing.



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July 27, 2007 at 10:19 pm
old volfan
Come on man, who is lying. The caption tells the tale. When did the surge start, hmm? Be honest about things if possible.
July 27, 2007 at 10:33 pm
meatbrain
Well, golly, what does the report say? It refers to the surge as “Operation Fardh al-Qanoon”, and according to the graph, that started on 10 February 2007.
You could have read that for yourself. Guess it was just too much trouble.
July 27, 2007 at 10:59 pm
Felekar
It’s amazing what people will believe, really. It seems like noone wants to hear the truth, because it’s just too hard to take.
I imagine that if this happened in any other country, there would be hell to pay.
Not terribly long ago in I believe France there were riots because someone high up in government just lied. But here in the US, lies are just a day to day thing.
Americans really need to stand up, and take back their government, because it’s not going to be given back on its own.
July 28, 2007 at 12:07 am
kemibe
If there’s one unassailable fact about right-wingers who blog, it’s that they’re shamelessly dishonest. Most of them are too stupid, lazy or confused to distingush truth from fiction, but even those who aren’t are so ideologically rigid that they lie every time it allows them to rail against liberals or the Dmocratic Party and anything typically associated with these (e.g., evolution, stem-cell research, climate change, the stance on the war).
Look at al of the merry assholes we’re mutually familiar with: Gribbit, Cao, Stop the ACLU’s slate of surreally halfwitted goons, Bradfield, Kender, and so on. Not only does every one of them lie, they both cop to and amplify this dishonesty by deleting comments from those with the temerity to challenge these lies. I’ve never deleted a single comment from my blog and I understand that no matter how contentious my posts may be, I’ll have no reason to play games as long as I don’t lie.
Idiots like Gribbit and that nastyass redhead you’ve fought with before, Kit something, don’t use the Internet as a means of exchanging ideas. They use it as a place to vent bullshit while seeking out like-minded lairs so as to ease the cognitive dissonance lying creates even in lifelong liars and assholes, since these people usually retain a few shreds of the conscience they may havebeen born with. They build Web sites that serve as shrines to their lies, using link exchanges and filtered input as a surrogate for facts, those oftenpesky things the rest of the world uses to make and support its points.
I don’t get angry at all when these dildos delete my comments, because for one thing I expect it and have a mirror handy for shaming purposes and for another all this does is serve as a (somewhat) tacit admission of frustration and mental incompetence. Anything that makes these twits fume and stamp their misshapen little hooves is enough to bring a smile to my melon, because they’re dirtbags and should be felating Jesus every morning in gratitude for being able to retainvoting priviliges despite the demonstrable absence of purposeful neural activity.
July 28, 2007 at 1:39 am
SkyDiveRick
Facts: Libtards like yourself have a tendency to dwell on the difficulties without recognizing the progress. Was Justin lying, or is his sources different than yours? I mean, if you continue to get your info at Marxist Central, of course yours is different. The libs only tell you what benefits their cause. They never spat the truth.
July 28, 2007 at 5:38 am
meatbrain
My post documents the source of the data about Iraqi civilian deaths. What was that source, and why would you classify it as ‘Marxist Central’?
July 28, 2007 at 9:24 pm
kender
While I am here let me ask you meaty…what would you do about Iraq and what would be the result of your plan?
July 28, 2007 at 9:52 pm
kender
Page 25 of 51 shows weapons caches found by our guys rising since the surge began.
The graph on 26 of 51 shows most of teh violence (78%) being concentrated in the lidwestern part of iraq, where 37% of the population is located.
and your data only goes to may…in case you haven’t poked your head out of your basement batty cave lately it is now july, almost august….you are two months behind
July 28, 2007 at 10:47 pm
meatbrain
And Justin’s claim was, in his exact words:
That claim is patently false. Our poo-flinging friend can quote as many other statistics as he likes — the fact remains that Justin Higgins is a liar.
July 28, 2007 at 10:52 pm
Allan Strickland
“Was justin lying when he told me you scream for Mt. Dew? While I am here let me ask you meaty…what would you do about Iraq and what would be the result of your plan?” – Kender
That’s kind-of a dumb question, Kender. We already know what he/she/it would do. They’d get real personal by introducing personal insults and sometimes outright slander into the field of public discourse and call it “open discussion.” All the while, they’ll have their heads in the sand like ostriches and continue to tell themselves that “this isn’t happening, this isn’t happening.” Anyone who breaks from this field of view and sees what’s going on over the horizon will naturally be branded a liar – and a fat liar at that.
It’s hard for someone like Justin to veil his personal feelings about these people in his commentary but it rarely (if ever) reaches lows like this.
With specific regard to the reduced casualties of the surge, these great military minds on the left seem to overlook the fact that when mobilized, action ensues and a “surge” in military activity increases the likelihood and numbers of casualties – particularly when it actively involves incursions into the strongholds of a fanatical and well-armed enemy.
July 28, 2007 at 11:07 pm
meatbrain
Uh huh. And what was Justin’s claim?
What was that again?
And what do the facts tell us? That casualties are, in fact, up.
Odd, isn’t it, how all the protestations of the poo-flingers in this world won’t change the facts…
July 28, 2007 at 11:22 pm
Joy
Iraqi Casualties Are Down
The data, obtained from the ministries of interior, defence and health, showed 1227 civilians died violently in June, a 36 per cent drop from May.
July 28, 2007 at 11:37 pm
meatbrain
The Iraqi government stopped releasing casualty figures some months ago. Given the fragmented and sectarian nature of the current Iraqi regime, any figures released by individual ministries would have to be considered suspect.
Cite the original documents, please.
July 28, 2007 at 11:44 pm
kender
July 28, 2007 at 11:50 pm
meatbrain
Kender is once again demonstrating the severe handicap he suffers from (well, one of them, anyway) — his inability to read for comprehension. Nowhere have I stated that “the ministries of interior, defence and health are not part of the iraqi government”.
What I did point out is that we know that the Iraqi government stopped releasing civilian casualty figures some months ago. A single unconfirmed newspaper report is not sufficient evidence on which to conclude that this policy has been reversed, nor that the figures in that news report are complete.
July 28, 2007 at 11:57 pm
kender
http://www.boston.com/news/world/middleeast/articles/2007/07/02/steep_drop_in_civilian_deaths_reported_in_iraq/
July 29, 2007 at 12:00 am
kender
try to follow along here drool master M…...the ministry of whatever releases some figure denoting something or other….the ministry is a part of the government…..THEREFORE the government has released teh figures.
What part of that train of logic eludes you?
(fuck you get stupider every damned day…go have a hot pocket)
July 29, 2007 at 6:52 am
meatbrain
The Boston.com report states outright that...
The fact remains that the Iraqi government, regardless of the actions of individual ministries, has stopped releasing casualty figures. Whatever casualty statistics the individual ministries may be releasing, they are doing so in direct opposition to the policy of the central government. The accuracy of any figures that may be released by individual ministries remains in serious doubt.
There is simply no reliable data on which to base a claim that civilian casualties have decreased.
July 29, 2007 at 5:12 pm
kender
Go wring out your drool bib.
July 29, 2007 at 6:55 pm
faulke
justin cited some ministry numbers to back up his claim. i don’t get how you can attack him for citing numbers and say “we can’t trust those numbers” but to disprove him, you cite your own numbers. are the numbers trustworthy or not? justin makes it clear the second graph is to defend his other point that sectarian murders are down. two seperate points. read for comprehension?
July 30, 2007 at 1:49 pm
meatbrain
Justin cited no numbers whatsoever in his original post. He simply claimed that “Iraqi casualties are down” as though it were a matter of accepted fact.
His second post is a deliberate exercise in mendacity, as he cites only the graph on deaths due to sectarian violence, while ignoring the figures on total Iraqi civilian casualties.
July 30, 2007 at 9:27 pm
faulke
i believe he quoted the same article as “joy” did above in the article before the graph. the graph was to defend his second point (that sectarian violence was down). he says he’s defending his claims. also today, the new york times put out an editorial citing casualties as down, which justin reported on. iraqi casualties are down, and you’re being a hypocrite by citing numbers then bashing him for doing so. his second post clarified his post. where’s your clarification?
July 30, 2007 at 9:39 pm
meatbrain
You’re referring to his article "If We Switched Places in History", yes? Show me the quote in that article that points to the article Joy cited.
August 2, 2007 at 2:17 am
faulke
No, I’m referring to his second post, the one you also chose to quote, and you know that. He obviously was clarifying.
August 2, 2007 at 4:52 am
meatbrain
Justin selectively lifted the sectarian murders graph from the Pentagon report, and ignored the graph on total civilian deaths because it contradicts his claims.
August 2, 2007 at 7:07 pm
faulke
no, Justin quoted an article (the same one as Joy) that said that civilian deaths were done, which was more recent than your graph (which only went til may.
August 2, 2007 at 7:10 pm
faulke
that said civilian deaths were down* The sectarian graph was to defend his second point, which was apparently addressed because he was being attacked on that too (specuation)