I’ve caught wingnut wonder Justin Higgins lying several times: about a 9/11 hijacker, about embryonic stem cells research, about Amnesty International’s statements on Darfur, and about Valerie Plame’s confirmed covert status. So it is no surprise to find him lying about the situation in Iraq:
It seems like Democrats in Congress, and even the talking heads that frequent the Main Stream Media’s various cable news shows, are going to ignore all evidence that the surge in Iraq is working. Iraqi casualties are down, Al-Qaeda in Iraq is on the run, and the changing political landscape in al-Anbar Province is a promising start to the complex problem of curbing sectarian violence and convincing the Iraqi population to stand up and fight against al-Qaeda.
Now, of the three reasons Justin gives to think that “the surge in Iraq is working”, the only quantifiable claim is that “Iraqi casualties are down”. Predictably, Justin is lying about this.
Back in June , the Pentagon released a report entitiled “Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq” [PDF]. Among the data in that report, one finds a graph on page 24 labelled “Average Daily Casualties, April 1, 2004 — May 4, 2007”. I reproduce the graph below.
Notice the tall dark blue bar at the far right — by far the tallest bar on the graph. It represents daily civilian casualties in Iraq since 10 February 2007. What does it tell us?
That’s right. Average daily civilian casualties in Iraq have peaked since the start of the ‘surge’. That number now stands at just over 100 per day. As noted by the Washington Post, violence is down in Baghdad, but has escalated throughout the rest of Iraq. The total number of attacks on military forces, police, and Iraqi civilians have also increased.
It’s very easy to fool yourself into believing something that isn’t true, just by ignoring the facts. Justin does this all the time, and it is his right to do so. Of course, that isn’t enough for Justin: He wants others to share his delusions as well. That’s why he lies to his readers.
UPDATE 07/29/07 5:12 PM EDT: Justin continues to practice blatant dishonesty. Citing the same Pentagon report I mentioned above, he is careful to cite a graph that displays sectarian murders, but not all civilian deaths, as evidence that casualties are decreasing.
Lately…